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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20121115T195937Z
SUMMARY:LDEO Earth Science Colloquium\: "Using Physics to Assess Long-ter
 m Flood Risk from Tropical Cyclones"
UID:62398
DTSTART:20121116T203000Z
DTEND:20121116T213000Z
LOCATION:Columbia University Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory\, Monell Bui
 lding Auditorium 
DESCRIPTION:\n\nThe Earth Institute's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory Earth
  Science Colloquium presents "Using Physics to Assess Long-term Flood Risk f
 rom Tropical Cyclones\, with Kerry Emanuel(http\://eaps4.mit.edu/faculty/Em
 anuel/)\, Professor of Atmospheric Science\, Massachusetts Institute of Tec
 hnology.  Open to\n\nthe public.\n\nAbstract\: Tropical cyclones are respon
 sible for extreme rainfall flooding events in many regions\; indeed\, quite
  a few of the world's rainfall records\, from 3 hours to 15 days duration\,
  were caused by tropical cyclones. At the same time\, the relative rarity o
 f these storms\, together with the small correlation lengths and times asso
 ciated with convective precipitation in general\, make it difficult to infe
 r long-term rain risk from historical precipitation records alone. In this
  talk I will describe a new physics-based technique for estimating long-term
  tropical cyclone rainfall risk. This technique\, building on previous work
  by the speaker's research team on tropical cyclone wind risk\, drives simp
 le tropical cyclone track and intensity models with large-scale variables f
 rom global reanalyses or climate models to create very large (104 - 106) sy
 nthetic tropical cyclone event sets. These can then be used to estimate tro
 pical cyclone wind risk at specified points of interest. When coupled with
  hydrodynamic surge models\, storm surge risk can also be estimated. Here I
  will focus on the latest extension of the technique that infers precipitati
 on from the output of the synthetic tropical cyclone model\, allowing one t
 o make estimates of long-term rain and flooding risk.\n\n \n\n \n\n \n\n Fo
 r more information on LDEO visit\n\nwww.ldeo.columbia.edu(http\://www.ldeo.
 columbia.edu)\n\nFor more information on the Earth Institute visit www.eart
 h.columbia.edu (http\://www.earth.columbia.edu)\n\nFor further information
  regarding this event\, please contact Daehyun Kim by sending email to dkim@
 ldeo.columbia.edu .
ORGANIZER;CN=Daehyun Kim:MAILTO:dkim@ldeo.columbia.edu
URL:https\://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/news-events/events/colloquium/eart
 h-science-colloquium/2012-2013-earth-science-colloquium-schedule
TRANS:TRANSPARENT
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